Weekly Roundup: Moon Time šŸŒ

Your April 5 Doriot Weekly Roundup. Amtrak's last hope for punctuality lies on the dark side of the Moon, DVC members share their feedback on our Red Flag Checklist, and DVC recaps its Deal Reviews for KingsCrowd and Sholder!

Happy Friday, DVC! This week I learned that NASA is creating a ā€œCoordinated Lunar Timeā€ (LTC) zone, since lower gravity means time literally moves faster on the Moon.

While this is the first time ā€œLTC to the Moon! šŸŒā€ has been said by government officials and not 15-year-old crypto traders in r/Litecoin, the real reason this is important is that a unified Moon time will help countries coordinate on the creation of projects like the ā€œLunar Railroadā€.

This all seems far fetched, but I support it. As an avid train traveler, lower gravity and scientifically faster time may be the only hope Amtrak has to run on schedule.

Startup Discussion & Weekly Poll:

Last week we shared the working copy of our crowdsourced ā€œRed Flag Checklistā€ and asked for your feedback!

We received a number of responses, but I wanted highlight some extremely insightful comments from Sonu Mirchandani - the legendary ETSU professor and Dean of Faculty at the Angel Capital Association!

On ā€œthe risk of startup investingā€:

ā€œAlways good to remind founders: we are taking the most risk as we are not collateralized debt, we are not even securitized debt (e.g. credit card), and we are not even revenue-based financing. We have virtually all the risk - and our payoff is entirely based on the founderā€™s ability to deliver. Period. Most founders, understand this, others don't.ā€

This is an incredibly important point that probably isnā€™t talked about enough.

To oversimplify: If a bank issues a loan to a company that ends up failing, it can recoup some/all of its money by seizing collateral (e.g. homes, cars, equipment, etc.).

Thatā€™s not the case with most true ā€œstartup investmentsā€. Most Angel/VC/RegCF investors take on the risk of a 100% loss for the small chance of an outsized payback in the future. In the event of a failure, youā€™re unlikely to have a claim to any remaining assets.

If a founder doesnā€™t recognize this dynamic or takes investors for granted, itā€™s probably a red flag šŸš©

On ā€œOverpriced Valuationsā€:

ā€œIf there is one thing that bugs me about founders with fab ideas, itā€™s that they don't budge on their valuation. Fortunately, to get a 10X ROIC at terminal value/exit value, you can reverse engineer the post-money valuation (or pre) for the round. Some founders recognize that and will play ball. If they don't play ball, we will over-index for investor protection using stringent liquidation preferences and anti-dilution clauses in the term-sheet.ā€

In other words, the reality in Startup Landā„¢ļø is that many deals are going to feel overpriced on valuation alone.

If the founder is willing to negotiate the price down, great! If not, additional ā€œdownside protectionsā€ like Liquidation Preferences (I.e. getting your money back before other investors) and anti-dilution clauses (I.e. receiving more shares if the company has a down round in the future) can lower the risk of investing at high valuations.

And if you canā€™t negotiate on price or get adequate downside protections, donā€™t be afraid toā€¦ šŸ‘‡ļø 

Walk away from the deal!

"As my Dad said when we used to take the public bus to school, ā€˜the next bus will come in 20 minā€™.ā€

This is beautifully simple advice for thinking about deals, or just life in general!

Uber was not the first company to make its investors rich, and it certainly wonā€™t be the last. There will always be new technologies, companies, and investments to be made.

Donā€™t give in to FOMO or go chasing bad deals. Just wait 20 minutes for the next bus šŸ™‚ 

Weā€™ve added Sonuā€™s full response to our running list of community insights, which you can find below!

Last Weekā€™s Results:

Last week we asked you to share your ā€œRed Flag Toleranceā€ā€¦ and 71% of you said ā€œMedium - I can accept some if the pros outweigh the cons!ā€ āš–ļø 

The other 29% say they have a strict zero tolerance policy (who hurt you? šŸ’”)

This week weā€™d like to knowā€¦

If a deal has no "red flags", does that make it a "good deal"?

Vote and share your thoughts! šŸ¤”

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Vote for New Deals:

Help select DVC's future deals! Please view the options, upvote your favorites, and suggest your own!

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New companies suggested this week:

Deal Review Summary:

Deal #78 - KingsCrowd:

Over the past 2 weeks we were looking at KingsCrowd - a startup building a data and analysis platform to power the alternative investing revolution!

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